Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.239116 0.270245 0.303320 0.341020 0.382737 0.427423 0.478847
2025-08-24 0.195535 0.237161 0.284076 0.340653 0.406803 0.481461 0.571851
2025-08-31 0.164238 0.211794 0.268181 0.339508 0.426823 0.529692 0.659470
2025-09-07 0.144413 0.196566 0.261206 0.346415 0.454884 0.587375 0.760348
2025-09-14 0.126053 0.180375 0.250505 0.346478 0.473016 0.632619 0.847367
2025-09-21 0.111355 0.166899 0.241344 0.346753 0.490202 0.676388 0.933677
2025-09-28 0.099281 0.155405 0.233298 0.347111 0.506535 0.718891 1.019465
2025-10-05 0.090708 0.147786 0.229575 0.352540 0.529326 0.770326 1.118781
2025-10-12 0.084482 0.142843 0.228974 0.361889 0.557542 0.829887 1.231235
2025-10-19 0.077443 0.135840 0.224559 0.365001 0.576520 0.876928 1.327783
2025-10-26 0.072423 0.131450 0.223566 0.372837 0.602395 0.934419 1.440996
2025-11-02 0.068397 0.128226 0.223986 0.382599 0.631306 0.997143 1.563832
2025-11-09 0.061975 0.120518 0.216925 0.380567 0.642749 1.035648 1.654475
2025-11-16 0.056567 0.113998 0.211220 0.380178 0.656513 1.078010 1.752416
2025-11-23 0.051588 0.107706 0.205323 0.378926 0.668601 1.118066 1.848203
2025-11-30 0.048594 0.104746 0.204835 0.386530 0.695137 1.181253 1.981505
2025-12-07 0.044712 0.099675 0.200187 0.386601 0.709102 1.225064 2.086135
2025-12-14 0.041248 0.095041 0.195906 0.386905 0.723260 1.269481 2.193043
2025-12-21 0.038127 0.090755 0.191884 0.387299 0.737395 1.314170 2.301701
2025-12-28 0.035989 0.088274 0.191025 0.393271 0.761297 1.375532 2.439131
2026-01-04 0.034527 0.087072 0.192498 0.403553 0.793111 1.451007 2.601921
2026-01-11 0.032397 0.084184 0.190422 0.406975 0.812763 1.506677 2.733752
2026-01-18 0.030978 0.082733 0.191083 0.415589 0.842058 1.579577 2.896430